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February 15, 2004
Drop Out?
Under no scenario can I imagine Dean getting the nomination. Under a far-fetched, but still plausible scenario can I see Edwards getting it. However, with Dean in the race I don't think Edwards will have enough of a chance, as he seems to draw from the same pool of voters as the North Carolina Senator. Dean has hinted that he knows this is true, suggesting that Edwards would make a better Presidential candidate or President than Kerry.
So, if Dean really wants to give the voters a choice, then I would say he's got to drop out after Tuesday -- unless he wins, in which case my entire analysis would be wrong (I just don't think he will).
Otherwise, it's one thing to have supporters who believe in the impossible on the way up (I would say up until the Iowa caucuses) but it's a wholly other thing to take advantage of their idealism on the way down, as Dean's doing now. So dropping out would (I think) prevent further alienation down the line.
Posted by Chris at February 15, 2004 07:11 PM
Comments
I like your blog Chris, you have some great insight sometimes, and a wonderful linear writing style, but hey, you've been punk'd right along with everyone else on this issue.
Why shouldn't candidates stay in till the bitter end? The nominating convention is in July, that leaves a three month period for everybody to kiss and makeup before the November election date.
If the problem is a wounded candidate emerging from that convention due to harsh campaigning, I say, hold on - isn't that supposed to be the purpose of the primary season?
For a complete response you'll find a long one here on the dKos.
Posted by: Angie in WA State at February 16, 2004 07:57 AM
Call me crazy, but I'd like there to be an option for anti-war voters in California and New York. Having it down to 2 guys who voted for 90% of the Bush agenda is a bad joke for me.
Posted by: jose at February 17, 2004 07:03 PM
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