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January 26, 2004

Poll Rundown

Here's the final comparison of the different pollsters. It's either a blowout or a tight race. Obviously it can't be both.

Chris is hardcore
ARG estimate
ARG
3 Day
Zogby/
Reuters/
MSNBC
Suffolk
Univ/
WHDH-TV
Boston
Globe/
WBZ-TV
Gallup/CNN/
USA Today
Average
Kerry 32 35 ?? 38 37 36 36
Dean 28 25 ?? 17 20 25 23
Edwards 15 15 ?? 9 12 10 12
Clark 12 13 ?? 10 8 13 11
Lieberman 7 6 ?? 5 7 10 7
Other/
Undecided
6 5 ?? 18 16 4 10

Posted by Chris at January 26, 2004 10:40 PM

Comments

These Hardcore #s are exactly what we will see at the polls (barring a major bombshell today).

Posted by: Wes at January 27, 2004 04:05 AM

I aggregated over 300 posts in the prediction contest at Daily Kos, and came up with these totally unscientific numbers:

Kerry -- a little under 31%.
Dean -- a little under 26%.
Edwards beating Clark.

Full results? Click my URL, dammit.

Last time, when I did this for Iowa, the Kossacks weren't any more on the mark than anyone else.)

Posted by: Hudson at January 27, 2004 05:08 PM

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