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March 31, 2004

Georgia State House

I've been doing some analysis of the state House races. If 2004 is a terrible year for Democrats, we should still expect to win 90 House races, which would be a tie. Reasonably I think we can expect to win about 100, plus or minus 5. As Bill Shipp says, I would put my money on a Democratic House.

One interesting statistic, of the Democrats' top targeted races, the 45 or so most competitive seats made up of endangered incumbents and also open seats that lean Democratic, the Democratic candidates currently have about $1,000,000 more on hand than the Republican opposition in these seats. If we win 40 of these seats we're in great shape.

Posted by Chris at March 31, 2004 04:03 PM

Comments

Where can we go to find out which open seats have no one running? I'd like to try to make sure that every House and Senate district has a D running

Posted by: Tim at April 1, 2004 04:30 PM

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