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January 19, 2004
One Final Word
...About my "polling." Obviously the order is not Dean/Clark/Lieberman/Kerry/Edwards. Drop Lieberman out of there and you might have a pretty accurate picture of what's going on now. Although Clark's probably now behind both Kerry and Edwards.
I rely on a number of sources, including Daily Kos and Political Wire, but I don't have anything near an accurate snapshot -- I'm completely missing poll data for Michigan, Washington and Maine, 3 February 7th states. Additionally, my Missouri polling is now probably useless considering Gep's out of the race. Finally, Dean's "lead" in my poll is not unlike his lead in polls right now, it doesn't mean much and even if it did, it still shows that his lead excludes over 80% of the delegates.
Overall, I stand by my polling data and my tracking poll. It will get much more accurate as the days go by and while it would be nice to predict today or a month ago who would win, my numbers should be able to show a pretty accurate road to the nomination, and ultimately since predictions are pretty useless seeing some solid numbers should be fun.
Posted by Chris at January 19, 2004 11:21 PM
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