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January 21, 2004

New Momentum Tracker

Gephardt's exit from the race increased everyone else's porportional share of the remaining 5 way race. Until I get some new polling data from South Carolina, Missouri, etc, my numbers won't really move. That said, check out Edwards and Kerry's gains.

1/21 1/19 1/16 1/12 1/09 1/07 1/06 12/21 12/18 12/17
Dean 34 34 30 30 29 30 30 30 30 29
Clark 23 23 20 19 17 16 16 17 17 18
Lieberman 15 15 13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15
Kerry 12 11 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 12
Edwards 9 8 7 6 6 6 5 6 6 6

This is my new "momentum" tracker. It's numbers do not add up to 100, it's merely a weighted average of increases from previous days' data. For those of you familiar with stocks, think of these numbers kind of like Forward P/E ratios. Apologies to those who have no idea what I'm talking about.

1/21 1/19 1/16 1/12 1/09 1/07 1/06
Edwards 20 37 48 26 15 3 -5
Kerry 18 29 34 7 5 -3 -2
Clark 5 23 59 37 13 -5 -1
Dean 4 19 44 18 3 -2 2
Lieberman 4 15 32 3 5 0 4

Posted by Chris at January 21, 2004 11:21 PM

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