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January 19, 2004

Iowa Surprise

About a week ago I was privately predicting that Kerry would come out on top in Iowa, but 38%? That's huge. I never would have predicted Edwards' incredible surge, but watching the caucuses on C-SPAN and CNN it was just amazing how Dean and Gephardt, possessors of the mythical field operation had to fight for viability while Kerry's people didn't need to do anything and Edwards' organizers could pretty easily bargain for the undecideds. My own tracking polls won't really show the momentum until later this week as the news filters out, but this race just got really exciting. As for Clark, skipping Iowa seemed like a great idea when it looked like Dean and Gephardt would take the first two slots, now it doesn't seem like such a good idea. We'll see how this all pans out.

Posted by Chris at January 19, 2004 10:55 PM

Comments

Privately?

You have a weblog. Private predictions recounted after the fact aren't worth squat.

Of course I called Gephardt but at least I had the guts to put something down.

I'm pretty happy with the results (I like Clark and Edwards the most). I'm a little worried about Kerry taking a bite out of Clark in NH, but you know, I like Kerry too so it's good for me that Gephardt is out and Dean is hurt.

Posted by: wes at January 20, 2004 12:09 AM

I feel kind of the same way. And my girlfriend's mother will back me up on calling Kerry at least a week ago! Next week we'll all do predictions for New Hampshire.

Posted by: Chris at January 20, 2004 11:22 AM

If WWF Dean wins the nomination, will Macho Man Randy Savage be his VP?

Posted by: zachary d smith at January 20, 2004 11:30 AM

Yeah the Hulk was pretty frightening.

Posted by: Chris at January 20, 2004 02:51 PM

I'm actually more likely to vote for Dean now.

Chris, could you possibly blog about how Georgia affects the Dem Presidential primary/race? I don't know a lot about it.

Posted by: zachary d smith at January 20, 2004 03:00 PM

Will do.

Posted by: Chris at January 20, 2004 03:46 PM

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