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December 18, 2003
Primary Update
Thanks to this awesome TAP article about the when's and where's of primaries, caucuses and delegates to the DNC, I've finally got the data to make my latest and greatest spreadsheet.
I used the delegate count data, as well as the day of the primaries, and the most recent polling data for each state, to award delegates to each candidate based on how well he (or she) is doing in each of the states that have a primary election. My process of awarding delegates also discounts the amount of delegates you get based on how long it is to that primary date. Right now, Georgia's 86 delegates are worth less than Iowa's 45, since the results in Iowa mean a lot more than Georgia's theoretical delegates, especially when you consider that the field should be down to 2 or 3 candidates by March 2nd, not the 9 we currently have.
A candidate needs a 50 (which would equal 50% of the delegates) to win the nomination. Everytime I get new polling data, or we actually conduct a primary or caucus, I'll update the little chart in the left column below my picture. Right now I think my data pretty accurately reflects that 1) Dean has the lead right now and is doing about 2) twice as well as Clark, Lieberman and Gephardt and that 3) all of them have a long way to go before actually getting the nomination.
Posted by Chris at December 18, 2003 05:53 PM
Comments
That's a very cool spreadsheet! Good work!
Posted by: zachary d smith at December 18, 2003 06:56 PM
(and cute photo too)
Posted by: zachary d smith at December 18, 2003 06:56 PM
Chris,
Good work on the chart system. I like the concept and idea. It just needs a cool spiffy name. Something like Chris's Diabolical Democratic Pro-Power Super Chart. Or something similar.
Posted by: Matt at December 19, 2003 09:15 AM
It needs a cute mascot character, something not unlike a Pokemon.
Posted by: zachary d smith at December 19, 2003 11:19 AM
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