Comments: Fire sale
Zogby has released some of his daily numbers:
Saturday:
Kerry - 28%
Dean - 25%
Friday:
Kerry - 26%
Dean - 22%
Posted by Michael at January 25, 2004 04:55 PM
Chrishardcore,
Congrats on your work.
I am not clear about why Dean is so down on other polls. Also, how come JFK is championing himself as womens right supporter and no response from Dean campaign? I want Dean to win NH and so I want to figure out how to catch JFK's spins, lies, and exagerrations.
AKB
Posted by Ali Karim Bey at January 25, 2004 05:14 PM
Thanks for posting that. It is great to see the analysis, and play around with the baselines and see how it changes the findings. What I realize is that a few days without change in the polls allows you to set a very reliable baseline and have a lot more confidence in the data.
Of course all of this could be blown out of the water if ARG has sample sizes that are significantly different day to day (which I doubt) or they are weighting their data (which might happen, although I doubt it).
Anyway, great stuff.
Posted by Rich at January 25, 2004 08:23 PM
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